ANALYZING THE PATTERN OF AGING POPULATION IN KWARA STATE, NIGERIA.

Orire, I.O.*, Mamman, M., Ariyo, J.A. and Laah, J.G.

This study attempts a spatial analysis of the 60+ segment of the population of Kwara State, Nigeria. For this purpose, a survey was undertaken utilizing a multi-stage sampling approach to collect data on demographic as well as socio-economic attributes of 488 elderly respondents in six selected LGAs of Kwara State. The data collected were summarized by means of descriptive and inferential statistical analysis. Factor analysis was used to reduce the dataset as well as determine the variables accounting for spatial variability. Therefore, 14 variables were identified which altogether explained 63.95% of the variance explanation. The factor scores derived from this procedure was used to map the pattern of aging over space. Multiple and stepwise multiple regressions were used to rewrite the model equation with intention of arriving at the best fitted model. These however revealed that only 10 (Social Wellbeing, Income, Support, Economic factor, Disability, Diseases, Health Insurance, Residential Quality, Recreational factor and Safety Nets) of the 14 identified variables were actually important in the explanation, and they all contributed 53.4% explanation to the pattern of aging in Kwara State. However, Social Wellbeing factor (Scwf) is the most important factor influencing the aging pattern in the state contributing 24.2% explanation. Furthermore, the percentage explanation of pattern of aging in the study ranges between 12% in Baruten to 59% in Asa LGAs. The study conclude that the population of the aged as well as factors influencing aging varies spatially. It however recommends the establishment and enhancement of pro-elderly health, social wellbeing and empowerment schemes. These are needed for a dignified and graceful aging which enhance greater independence in later life.

Key words: Aging population, Elderly, Kwara State, Nigeria, Spatial pattern.